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Politics Best Posts: 2024 General Election Thread

  1. RetiredAccount
    Posts: 11,791
    Likes: 22,247
    Joined: Nov 28, 2014

    RetiredAccount Big Time Stuntin Like My Daddy

    Oct 14, 2020
    538 now has Biden winning Georgia! https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

    EDIT: This is after two high quality polls both in Bidens favor (+2 & +7 respectively)
     
    #784
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  2. Enigma
    Posts: 15,298
    Likes: 17,896
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 12, 2020


    there aren’t many Trump defectors when looking at the electorate as a whole (I think only like 6%) but the ones in key rust belt states are making a difference for Biden.
     
    #773
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  3. DKC
    Posts: 23,414
    Likes: 81,869
    Joined: Nov 23, 2014

    DKC shortygonletmecrush

    Oct 8, 2020
    if Nixon and JFK could do virtual debates in 1960 then Trump can do one in 2020 lol
     
    #757
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  4. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
    Likes: 19,759
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    ofc only downside here is trump again gets to whine about how aggrieved he is... how unfair

    think that record has been played ehe
     
    #739
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  5. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
    Likes: 19,759
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    @Enigma what u think


    Also @Guma @Rick James @Michael Myers u guys are Central/Eastern Europe right ? Thoughts ?
     
    #735
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  6. Enigma
    Posts: 15,298
    Likes: 17,896
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 8, 2020
    depends on the state! Some states don’t allow mail-in ballots to start being counted until Election Day I believe.
     
    #732
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  7. Enigma
    Posts: 15,298
    Likes: 17,896
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 8, 2020
    Trump still has a 15% chance of winning the election via FiveThirtyEight & 9% chance via the economist model. So it’s still a significant chance (anything around ~10%) but that’s taking into account we have a little more than 3 weeks until the election. If Trump/Pence really want a shot at winning this election, they need to cut that nationally lead down to at least like +4 Biden. I just can’t think of many [legal] pathways from them to get there that doesn’t involve some ground breaking development from the Biden campaign. Maybe Russia tries some s--- again? Idk lol. It’s desperation mode though for the Trump campaign.
     
    #729
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  8. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
    Likes: 19,759
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    my exact thoughts re grimace coldcocking marshall iii in his driveway :)
     
    #728
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  9. Enigma
    Posts: 15,298
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    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 8, 2020
    National polls were accurate in 2016. It said Clinton would win the popular vote by 4 points & she won it by ~3 points. It was state polls in some rust belt states that were off in 2016. It’s hard to predict which way polls will be off though. Margins of error are always +/- so while the error went in Trump’s favor in 2016, it doesn’t mean it’ll go in his favor in 2020. Polls could be underestimating Biden for all we know. Also, Biden’s lead right now is far ahead of what Clinton was at this point. Clinton never led by more than +7.6 & that peak was in the summer. Biden is leading by +10 a week into October lol.
     
    #725
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  10. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
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    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    sure, if u go to a schizophrenic eminem stans house ....who u know from ur toxic/ill shithead brother + correspond w on a rap message board... instead of taking care of ur family lmk. ill take that bet lol
     
    #718
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  11. M Solo
    Posts: 5,284
    Likes: 23,743
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    M Solo Fresh Outta London

    Oct 7, 2020
    Pence is good I'll give him that. Cool, calm and collected. And one h--- of a liar while coming off like a nice enough guy
     
    #704
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  12. Thy
    Posts: 11,067
    Likes: 20,861
    Joined: Jun 28, 2015

    Thy 000000

    Oct 7, 2020
    You’re gonna have your green card revoked once feds get to know you sold xans. RIP
     
    #689
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  13. Enigma
    Posts: 15,298
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    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 6, 2020


    Biden is kind of running away with the election at this point. I mean, maybe this narrows back to +7 in the coming weeks but Americans are already voting. It’s starting to be difficult to imagine many legal pathways to victory for Trump.
     
    #688
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  14. DarkShadows
    Posts: 33
    Likes: 22
    Joined: Sep 30, 2020

    DarkShadows Death is life

    Oct 6, 2020

    I called you because.... I wanted to here your voice... and I wanted to see... if you liked my Relpase style poem. Instead a woman named Deb answered. I asked for you... and she had no idea what I was talking about. So I asked her if she was ready for Hallowmas... and the carnage that would come with and I told her.. about my pet goat. She spoke of law enforcement... and I lost my cool. Why would you bring an innocent into this? Why would you make... me feel like a fool in front of... a woman. There will be consequences you stupid son of a b----. Something very sinister in store for you indeed
     
    #687
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  15. Proto
    Posts: 6,623
    Likes: 12,970
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    Proto drippin so pretty

    Oct 6, 2020
    [​IMG]
     
    #686
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  16. Guma
    Posts: 12,978
    Likes: 27,305
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    Guma

    Oct 6, 2020
    [​IMG]
     
    #671
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  17. Lil Squeed
    Posts: 24,190
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    Joined: May 5, 2015

    Lil Squeed French Montana Stan

    Oct 6, 2020
    I mean it's not the worst house I've ever seen
     
    #670
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  18. Ricky
    Posts: 41,486
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    Joined: Jul 15, 2015
    Location: Zulu Nation

    Ricky Hip-Hop CEO

    Oct 6, 2020
    My man @M Solo be like...

     
    #663
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  19. Thy
    Posts: 11,067
    Likes: 20,861
    Joined: Jun 28, 2015

    Thy 000000

    Oct 6, 2020
    You a green card holder?
     
    #652
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  20. Marshall III
    Posts: 4,165
    Likes: 5,184
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Marshall III

    Oct 6, 2020
    Lol what kind of question is that you trying to say I'm connected to Pizzagate lol Tf Gtfo you guys ain't smart or cool and yes Eminem knows who I am
     
    #641
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