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Politics 2024 General Election Thread

Started by Enigma, Apr 28, 2020, in Life Add to Reading List

Who did you/are you voting for?

Poll closed Nov 6, 2024.

  1. Kamala Harris

    15 vote(s)
    27.3%

  2. Donald Trump

    11 vote(s)
    20.0%

  3. Third Party

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%

  4. Abstaining

    5 vote(s)
    9.1%

  5. Not a US Citizen, but would vote Democrat

    12 vote(s)
    21.8%

  6. Not a US Citizen, but would vote Trump

    6 vote(s)
    10.9%

  7. Not a US Citizen, but would vote third party or abstain

    6 vote(s)
    10.9%
  1. Boos
    Posts: 11,402
    Likes: 19,130
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    Boos Nova Nation

    Oct 8, 2020
     
    #721
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    Ordinary Joel likes this.
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    Ordinary Joel likes this.
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  2. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
    Likes: 19,759
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    wow great point
     
    #722
    0 0
    May 2, 2025
  3. Enigma
    Posts: 15,279
    Likes: 17,890
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 8, 2020


    So like...this race is very likely over lol. Trump/Pence are down 10 with less than a month until Election Day. I can’t even fathom what it would take [legally] for them to catch up. Biden would need to have like a heart attack on national television at the next debate or something.
     
    #723
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    Ordinary Joel, RetiredAccount, lil uzi vert stan and 3 others like this.
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    Ordinary Joel, RetiredAccount, lil uzi vert stan and 3 others like this.
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  4. JMG
    Posts: 16,222
    Likes: 39,093
    Joined: Dec 3, 2014

    JMG

    Oct 8, 2020
    What makes the polls accurate this time around? Because Im just getting deja vu.. Serious question
     
    #724
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    Victim, asvdawg, Ordinary Joel and 3 others like this.
    6
    Victim, asvdawg, Ordinary Joel and 3 others like this.
    May 2, 2025
  5. Enigma
    Posts: 15,279
    Likes: 17,890
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 8, 2020
    National polls were accurate in 2016. It said Clinton would win the popular vote by 4 points & she won it by ~3 points. It was state polls in some rust belt states that were off in 2016. It’s hard to predict which way polls will be off though. Margins of error are always +/- so while the error went in Trump’s favor in 2016, it doesn’t mean it’ll go in his favor in 2020. Polls could be underestimating Biden for all we know. Also, Biden’s lead right now is far ahead of what Clinton was at this point. Clinton never led by more than +7.6 & that peak was in the summer. Biden is leading by +10 a week into October lol.
     
    #725
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    May 2, 2025
  6. DKC
    Posts: 23,404
    Likes: 81,847
    Joined: Nov 23, 2014

    DKC shortygonletmecrush

    Oct 8, 2020
    I wanna believe but I don't wanna get cocky either
     
    #726
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    asvdawg, Ordinary Joel, Vos and 1 other person like this.
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    asvdawg, Ordinary Joel, Vos and 1 other person like this.
    May 2, 2025
  7. Guma
    Posts: 12,978
    Likes: 27,303
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    Guma

    Oct 8, 2020
    [​IMG]
     
    #727
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    Translucent, Ordinary Joel, lil uzi vert stan and 1 other person like this.
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    Translucent, Ordinary Joel, lil uzi vert stan and 1 other person like this.
    May 2, 2025
  8. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
    Likes: 19,759
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    my exact thoughts re grimace coldcocking marshall iii in his driveway :)
     
    #728
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    Ordinary Joel, DKC and Guma like this.
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    Ordinary Joel, DKC and Guma like this.
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  9. Enigma
    Posts: 15,279
    Likes: 17,890
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 8, 2020
    Trump still has a 15% chance of winning the election via FiveThirtyEight & 9% chance via the economist model. So it’s still a significant chance (anything around ~10%) but that’s taking into account we have a little more than 3 weeks until the election. If Trump/Pence really want a shot at winning this election, they need to cut that nationally lead down to at least like +4 Biden. I just can’t think of many [legal] pathways from them to get there that doesn’t involve some ground breaking development from the Biden campaign. Maybe Russia tries some s--- again? Idk lol. It’s desperation mode though for the Trump campaign.
     
    #729
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    Ordinary Joel, lil uzi vert stan and DKC like this.
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  10. Worm
    Posts: 15,590
    Likes: 61,576
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011
    Location: New Jersey

    Worm Big Perm Big Worm

    Oct 8, 2020
    will they start counting and reporting the mail in ballots now or do they still have to wait until election day to do that?
     
    #730
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    asvdawg and Ordinary Joel like this.
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  11. JMG
    Posts: 16,222
    Likes: 39,093
    Joined: Dec 3, 2014

    JMG

    Oct 8, 2020
    Well I still don't trust polls as most are liberal outlets. Plus how can they predict turnout?
     
    #731
    0 0
    May 2, 2025
  12. Enigma
    Posts: 15,279
    Likes: 17,890
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 8, 2020
    depends on the state! Some states don’t allow mail-in ballots to start being counted until Election Day I believe.
     
    #732
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    Ordinary Joel, RetiredAccount and Worm like this.
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  13. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
    Likes: 19,759
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    thats part of the methodogy for forecasters. theres a whole science to this stuff - even partisan pollsters can be graded w good marks depending on their approach.
     
    #733
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  14. JMG
    Posts: 16,222
    Likes: 39,093
    Joined: Dec 3, 2014

    JMG

    Oct 8, 2020
    Well I'm still confident Trump will win, even if the polls are right.
     
    #734
    0 0
    May 2, 2025
  15. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
    Likes: 19,759
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    @Enigma what u think


    Also @Guma @Rick James @Michael Myers u guys are Central/Eastern Europe right ? Thoughts ?
     
    #735
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  16. Proto
    Posts: 6,620
    Likes: 12,968
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    Proto drippin so pretty

    Oct 8, 2020
    wtf bros I thought Trump was pro life?
     
    #736
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  17. Enigma
    Posts: 15,279
    Likes: 17,890
    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Oct 8, 2020
    Very good ad. It sucks that Americans don’t really care about foreign policy much. It’s so important though & has impacts in what we’re able to do domestically.

    In other news: when I say Republicans don’t care about Democracy, Republican Senator Mike Lee pretty much sums up what I meant:

     
    #737
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  18. Worm
    Posts: 15,590
    Likes: 61,576
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011
    Location: New Jersey

    Worm Big Perm Big Worm

    Oct 8, 2020
     
    #738
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  19. lil uzi vert stan
    Posts: 7,755
    Likes: 19,759
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011

    lil uzi vert stan

    Oct 8, 2020
    ofc only downside here is trump again gets to whine about how aggrieved he is... how unfair

    think that record has been played ehe
     
    #739
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  20. DKC
    Posts: 23,404
    Likes: 81,847
    Joined: Nov 23, 2014

    DKC shortygonletmecrush

    Oct 8, 2020
    yeah I mean he'll find a way to whine about unfairness no matter what happens
     
    #740
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    Ordinary Joel and Enigma like this.
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    May 2, 2025