May 25, 2016 Trump won the Republican nomination because he is a misogynistic racist... not despite that fact. He is a moron who is completely unqualified. I watched his stump speech after he won a primary... he kept calling Cruz "Lyin' Ted", then he said "listen folks, we literally export nothing to Japan. Nothing. Do you believe that?" And I absolutely didn't believe it... so, I looked it up and we export $60,000,000,000 worth of goods to Japan a year. So, either Trump just constantly lies all the time about everything... even when he accuses someone else of lying... or he is just pulling s--- out of his a--- and he has no idea what he is talking about and to lazy to research it... or both? Either way he is 100% unqualified for the office that Washington, Lincoln and FDR held. If he didn't have the appeal of his racism and misogyny... he would just be a dumb a------ who didn't know what he was talking about and no one would vote for him.
May 25, 2016 So am I right in assuming America has a bunch of terrible candidates and you guys pretty much have to choose the lesser of two evils? (Being fully serious rn)
May 25, 2016 i meant more along the lines of that he's prob approving the majority of what is being tweeted or controlling the message. doubt he is actually writing stuff himself
May 26, 2016 This election reminds me a lot of another US Presidential election... 2000. On the Republican side you had a guy that seemed kind of dumb, but had a famous name and came from a family that had hundreds of millions of dollars... no not Trump, George W. Bush. Then the Democrats had Al Gore... that everyone thought was kinda boring and wasn't excited about... he kinda had an annoying voice and spent decades promoting the internet (which was exclusively for virgin nerds at the time) and was worried about climate change (global warming, s--- yeah! Get my tan on). Al Gore did win the popular vote... and why not? He was a successful US Senator and Vice President during an Administration that had experienced 8 years of peace and prosperity and unprecedented economic growth. He also won the Electoral College... except the Republicans fought to throw out a ton of votes that were clearly for Gore... and they fought it all the way to the Supreme Court... a Court that was represented by 7 Judges appointed by Republican Presidents and 2 appointed by Democratic Presidents. They ruled against common sense and for Bush. So, what was the big deal? Bush failed to prevent 9/11. Passed the PATRIOT ACT, which compromises the US Constitution. Invaded Iraq on bad intelligence. Appointed his friend an Arabian Horse Show Judge to head FEMA. 2,000 people subsequently die in Hurricane Katrina. Allows Usama bin Laden to escape to Pakistan after bombing Afghanistan into chaos. Makes torture official US policy. Presides over the biggest American financial collapse in 80 years. Leaves office a complete failure of a President. Elections have consequences.
May 26, 2016 lol i was trying really hard to be neutral with my response cuz i said i would be from the beginning... you're the worst.
May 26, 2016 Bernie gonna get in line with the party once he loses the nomination like Hillary did in 2008 Both Democratic contests have been polarizing; Hillary even got more votes during the primary season than Obama in '08 I know it's tough for a lot of these Dem kids to support Hillary cuz it's their first election and they feel a stronger attachment to Bernie than the party, but these feelings of resentment will cool down as we shift to the general
May 26, 2016 Right lol I just bring that up anecdotally -- if dems in ma are switching what other trends might be taking place It's early but this cycle is just so erratic. And I was sooo confident trump was a flash in the pan months ago and here we are
May 26, 2016 I think there's a very flawed line of thinking that is gathering steam that says "no one expected Trump to be the nominee....so ignore anyone who says the odds are stacked against him in a general election" There's a big, big difference between the primary and the general election. Is it true that a lot of people thought that Trump would not be the nominee? Absolutely. But those people were all IGNORING THE POLLS. The polls, since July of 2015, gave Trump large, enduring leads on a national level and in the early states. The only exceptions were a brief surge from Ben Carson and some good numbers for Ted Cruz at certain points in the race (but never a lead, at least not a commanding one). Overall, the numbers overwhelmingly pointed to a Trump victory - we were all just in denial that it was going to last. Your statement that the cycle is erratic feels true - but it actually isn't. Trump was the frontrunner since July, and he won the nomination. The people who are now saying Trump is likely to lose in November aren't ignoring the polls at all. Polls show that his unfavorable ratings are historically high. Polls show that he has horrific, perhaps unprecedented numbers with females and minorities, particularly Latinos (one of the fastest growing pieces of the electorate). Polls show that he loses to Hillary Clinton in swing states - h---, polls even show new states coming into play (with Trump's leads in Georgia and Arizona being within the margin of error). Polls have consistently shown a strong national lead for Hillary as well - until the past week of course, when Trump is enjoying perhaps the best moment of his campaign (Republicans getting in line) and Hillary dealing with the worst (Bernie Bros getting bitter as the end nears). This is a notoriously period in the election to poll, so I wouldn't put too much stock into these new leads unless they endure through June and into July as we head towards the convention. If he keeps a lead for that long, then yes, we should probably worry. But in all likelihood, things will revert back to the norm, which says that the numbers just don't add up for Trump. In terms of demographics, in terms of favorable/unfavorable ratings, in terms of the national vote, in terms of the electoral college - however you want to look at it.